Since I did not trade today, I figured I would give a little insight into why the big move last Thursday at 5:30 AM with no announcement. In a matter of 3 minutes, the pound lost 1.5 cents (150 pips) to the US dollar. Why? Because there was some major financial moves behind the scenes again.
Last week the US Treasury issued $28 billion in 7 year bonds to raise some money. On Wednesday and again on Thursday, the Federal Reserve purchased $7 billion each day. What else are they going to do with all that new minted money they created. With buying these bonds on the open market, the Fed is openly monetizing US government debt. But this fact is effectively hidden from a not-too-terribly inquisitive US press and public. This was reported in the Chris Martenson Insider. For more detail, check out the link - www.chrismartenson.com/blog/fed-buys-last-weeks-treasury-auction/23880
And more purchases are on the way. Additional purchases are scheduled over the next couple weeks. This is an ongoing attempt to prop up the US dollar and the debt of the government. Check out the purchase schedule of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York below.
Operation Date | Settlement Date | Operation Type1 | Maturity/Call Date Range | ||
August 6, 20092 | August 7, 2009 | Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase | 05/15/16 – 05/15/19 | ||
August 10, 2009 | August 11, 2009 | Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase | 05/15/12 – 11/30/13 | ||
August 11, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase | 08/15/26 – 05/15/39 | ||
August 17, 2009 | August 18, 2009 | Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase | 12/31/13 – 04/30/16 | ||
August 19, 2009 | August 20, 2009 | Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase | 02/15/20 – 02/15/26 |
Makes you think twice about the open market, doesn't it?
OK, on to the daily stats for Tuesday, August 11, 2009.
Open | High | Low | Close | Pip Interval |
GBP/USD | 1.6478 | 1.6522 | 1.6430 | 1.6476 | 92 |
EUR/USD | 1.4139 | 1.4184 | 1.4109 | 1.4147 | 75 |
USD/CHF | 1.0852 | 1.0863 | 1.0789 | 1.0816 | 74 |
USD/JPY | 97.13 | 97.15 | 95.75 | 95.98 | 140 |
GBP/JPY | 160.05 | 160.18 | 157.78 | 158.13 | 240 |
As you can see, the European currencies did not move much today to create another doji. The Japanese yen gained more strength than usual against the dollar. This also propelled the yen to gain against the pound as well.
What this means:
With more treasury notes purchases scheduled, the dollar will continue to be propped up for a while. The doji today is just a breather. However, outside of the Fed's purchases and an improved unemployment report on Friday, the US does not have a lot of good news. I really don't anticipate that the dollar will gain a lot more ground over the next couple weeks.
May the pips be with us!
The Pipmaster
Email: titangroupfx@gmail.com
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